The Saints Will Upset Lions in NFL Week 13

Nov 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New Orleans Saints safety Tyrann Mathieu (32) celebrates with
Nov 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New Orleans Saints safety Tyrann Mathieu (32) celebrates with / Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Every game for the rest of the season is key for the New Orleans Saints if they want to win the NFC South, including their Week 13 matchup against the Detroit Lions.

The Saints are listed as underdogs in this game, but I think they have a great chance to pull off the upset on Sunday.

Let's take a look at the latest odds for the game and then I'll break down why I like the Saints to get the job done.

Lions vs. Saints odds, spread, and total

The Lions have shown us the past two weeks that they have some issues, specifically on the defensive side of the football.

Detroit ranks 18th in opponent EPA per play, 21st in opponent yards per play, and 24th in opponent success rate. Having a subpar defense like that means your offense needs to bring their "A" game if they want to win, which leaves them ripe to be upset.

mentionedThat's especially so when they take on a team that has a clear defensive advantage, which the Saints absolutely do. New Orleans ranks 7th, 15th, and 5th in the aforementioned stats mentions above. If the Saints can keep the Lions' offense in check, then they could be in a great spot to win the game if they get some production from their own offense.

Let's also note the Lions have been significantly worse on the road than at home this season. At home, they have a Net Yards per Play of +1.1, but when they play on the road that mark drops down to -0.1, which is 19th in the NFL.

Don't lose faith in the Saints. I think they win this week.

If you agree with me on this take and want to bet on the Saints, you should absolutely do so at Bet365. If you click the link below to sign up for an account, you'll receive $365 in bonus bets when your place your first $1 wager!

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!