The Saints head to Minnesota to face the resurgent Minnesota Vikings, who scored a thrilling win on the back of newly acquired quarterback Josh Dobbs last week after being acquired earlier that week.
Dobbs will have some time to prepare for the Saints defense, but one that is far better than Atlanta's. However, it's New Orleans offense that I'm eyeing in the player prop market on Sunday as Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave are set for big outings agianst a lackluster Minnesota pass defense.
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Best Prop Bets for Saints vs. Vikings in Week 10
- Chris Olave OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards
- Alvin Kamara OVER 4.5 Receptions
- Josh Dobbs OVER 28.5 Rushing Yards
Chris Olave OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards
Olave has been the No. 1 target for Derek Carr all season, but some of his numbers have been limited lately, mainly his receiving yards output, racking up 46, 46, 57 over his last three games. However, his volume remains sky high, totaling at least eight targets in all three of those games.
I think we see an outburst on Sunday against a Minnesota team that is below the league average in Dropback/EPA this season where Olave's target share produces a ton of receiving yards.
It is worth noting that Michael Thomas' status is up in the air for Sunday after he was arrested on Friday afternoon, which could lead to more production for the second year wide out.
Alvin Kamara OVER 4.5 Receptions
Kamara has returned from his early season suspension and looked like his normal self, especially in the passing game, where he has at least four receptions in five of six games. Kamara has seen a ton of volume and Carr has not been shy to target his running back with two games with 14 targets.
With an average target share, Kamara should clear this with ease, and given that I see Minnesota's offense putting up some resistance on offense, I believe we'll need to see the Saints push the ball through the air in this one.
Josh Dobbs OVER 28.5 Rushing Yards
The strength of the Saints defense is on the line with pass rushers Cameron Jordan living the opposing team's backfield. However, this is going to lead to Dobbs clearing his rushing yards prop, something that he has done in all but two games this season.
In his first game with his new team last week, Dobbs was quick to escape the pocket, rushing seven times for 66 yards and a touchdown. While he may be more comfortable this week with his teammates, the pressure will pick up against this Saints front seven, meaning I expect Dobbs to try and use his legs at a decent rate. Dobbs has a double digit yard run in every game he's gone over this total, so it may not take many rushes to get over.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!