Saints vs. Falcons prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 12

Odds, best bet, and more for NFL Week 12 action in the NFC South between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons
Sep 11, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) runs against
Sep 11, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) runs against / Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints can put a stamp on their top spot in the NFC South this weekend when they head to Atlanta to take on their rival, the Falcons. The Saints currently hold the top spot in the division with a 5-5 record, but a loss to the Falcons on Sunday would put them behind with both teams at 5-6.

We still don't know who the Saints will be starting at QB as Derek Carr failed to be cleared from concussion protocol during their BYE week, but he still has time to do that ahead of Sunday.

Check out this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets" to find out my best bet for all 16 NFL Week 12 games.

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Saints vs. Falcons odds, spread, and total

Saints vs. Falcons betting trends

  • Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
  • The UNDER is 13-3 in the Saints' last 16 games
  • The UNDER is 9-2 in the Saints' last 11 road games
  • Saints are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. NFC South opponents
  • Falcons are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games
  • The UNDER is 8-4 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams
  • The UNDER is 11-5 in the Falcons' last 16 games

Saints vs. Falcons injury reports

New Orleans Saints injury report

  • Michael Thomas - WR - IR
  • Kendre Miller - RB - Questionable
  • Isaiah Foskey - DE - Questionable
  • Marshon Lattimore - CB - Questionable
  • Derek Carr - QB - Questionable

Atlanta Falcons injury report

  • David Onyemata - DT - Questionable
  • Dee Alford - CB - Questionable
  • Mack Hollins - WR - Questionable
  • Taylor Heinicke - QB - Questionable

Saints vs. Falcons how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, November 26
  • Game Time: 1:00 pm EST
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): FOX
  • New Orleans Saints Record: 5-5
  • Atlanta Falcons Record: 4-6

Saints vs. Falcons key players to watch

New Orleans Saints

Demario Davis: The Saints' defense is the only reason why they're in the drivers seat to win the NFC South and Demario Davis is the heart and soul of the unit. He leads the team in tackles with 73 while adding one four sacks, six tackles for a loss, and three pass deflections. He could have a big game against this directionless Falcons offense.

Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder: The Falcons have named Desmond Ridder their starting quarterback once again so he'll get one more shot to prove he can be the QB of the future for this team. My hopes aren't high for him, but he might have more to play for than anyone else on the field on Sunday.

Saints vs. Falcons prediction and pick

The Falcons might stink. Even though some of their overall metrics aren't terrible, like their 13th ranking in Net Yards per Play, they find ways to shoot themselves in the foot on a weekly basis.

Their offense is predictable and uninspired and they refuse to give their best players the football, instead opting to get the ball in their backup tight end's hands as many time as possible.

Now, they have to face an elite Saints defense that ranks in the top six in opponent EPA/Play and opponent success rate. Desmond Ridder and company are going to be overwhelmed and the Saints offense will do enough to get the job done.

I'm surprised the Saints are small underdogs in this game, so that's the direction I'm going to go.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!