The New Orleans Saints are still alive in the race for the NFC South, sitting just one game back from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
They'll need to win out and the Buccaneers to lose out in order for them to do it, so while the chances are slim, they do exist. Step one in pulling off the improbable is upsetting the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 17.
The Eagles are still trying to lock up the NFC East and the number one seed in the conference after losing to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. There hasn't been word whether or not Jalen Hurts will be back for Week 17.
So where do we stand from a betting perspective for this NFC matchup? Let's dive into it.
Saints vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, and Total
Saints vs. Eagles Betting Trends
- The UNDER is 7-1 in the Saints' last eight games
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Eagles
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against NFC East opponents
- The OVER is 8-2 in the Eagles' last 10 games
- The OVER is 6-0 in the Eagles' last six home games
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against NFC South opponents
Saints vs. Eagles Prediction and Pick
Hand up. I'm addicted to betting on the Saints. Their stats are much better than their record would indicate, so I find they have betting value week in and week out. I'll back them again in this spot against the Eagles.
The Saints have the seventh-best sack rate this season, sacking their opponents on 7.56% of dropbacks. That's going to play a big factor in this game because the biggest injury news isn't actually Jalen Hurts, it's offensive tackle Lane Johnson, who is going to miss the rest of the regular season.
It's also not confirmed that Hurts will be starting. If you bet this line now, and it's announced that Hurts is out, the betting line may decrease closer to the opening number of Eagles -4.
Let's also not forget that the Saints' offense is underrated, coming in at 10th in the NFL in yards per play while also ranking in the top half of the league in third down and red zone offense.
Their biggest issue all season was turnovers and a lack of takeaways on defense. That concern has been fixed in recent weeks. Over their last three games they have an average turnover margin of +0.7.
Now, with that issue resolved, the Saints will be frisky in the final two weeks of the season and I'll gladly take them at +7 against the Eagles in Week 17.
You can track Iain’s bets on Betstamp here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.