Giants vs. Saints best NFL prop bets for Week 15 (Alvin Kamara prop to bet)
By Reed Wallach
The Saints are back in the mix for the NFC South and will look to take care of the upstart New York Giants on Sunday in hopes of furthering its playoff push.
Alvin Kamara has been putting up big numbers for the Saints this season and this matchup should set up well for him, but how should we profit off of it in the player prop market? We got you covered below with a player prop for the star running back as well as two others.
Best NFL prop bets for Giants vs. Saints in Week 15
- Alvin Kamara OVER 104.5 rushing and receiving yards
- Taysom Hill OVER 22.5 rushing yards
- Saquon Barkley UNDER 66.5 rushing yards
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Alvin Kamara OVER 104.5 rushing and receiving yards
Kamara has been one of the highest volume player sin the league since returning from his suspension to start the season. He has gone over 100 yards from scrimmage in five of 10 games this season and this matchup should set up nicely for him.
The Giants have won three straight games to get into the postseason mix, but the defense remains vulnerable, especially against the run, where the team is 26th in EPA/Rush from Week 10 on. I'm going to target this combined yardage prop though given Kamara's usage in the passing game.
Kamara is averaging more than seven targets per game this season and should be poised to put together a strong all around effort.
Taysom Hill OVER 22.5 rushing yards
Hill missed last week's game against the Panthers due to a foot and hand issue, but is all set to return on Sunday, and should be in line for a big effort.
Given the Giants' week rush defense, I can see Taysom Hill factoring into the game script. This is a modest mark for the do-it-all quarterback to clear, he has gone over this mark in five of 12 games, so this would be above average, but when you look deeper, he should have little issue if he gets the necessary volume.
When Hill gets five or more carries, he has gone over this in five of eight instances. In the last two weeks prior to injury, Hill rushed 59 yards on 13 carries and 26 yards on seven carries. I believe the injury is depressing his number, but count on a bounce back.
Saquon Barkley UNDER 66.5 rushing yards
The Saints defense thrives at stopping the run, seventh in EPA/Rush allowed on the year and I think we are getting a prime opportunity to fade Barkley after his 86 yards on the ground last week.
Even after that great game, the Giants offense is still 31st in EPA/Rush on offense since the beginning of this three game winning streak. The offense has hit explosives and leaned on a good defense, but the run game is still not effective.
I think the Saints suffocate Barkley and the Giants' ground game.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!