The Saints and Buccaneers meet in a battle of two 2-1 NFC South foes, but quarterback questions on the Saints side after Derek Carr left with a shoulder injury.
While we don't know if it's Carr or Jameis Winston under center for the Saints, one thing is for certain: Chris Olave is going to thrive against the Buccaneers secondary. One of the bright young stars in the NFL is the consistent option in the Saints offense as the team reacclimates Alvin Kamara to the roster.
I also want to use this prop article to fade the Bucs offense. It is one of the bottom feeders of the NFL and will struggle for the second straight week against an elite defense.
Here are my three favorite prop bets for this Week 4 matchup. If you like what you read, make sure to take advantage of this brand new FanDuel offer below to get $200 in bonus bets upon signing up and betting just $5 on ANY NFL game this weekend!
Best Prop Bets for Buccaneers vs. Saints
- Chris Olave OVER 5.5 Receptions
- Rachaad White OVER 14.5 Rushing Attempts
- Baker Mayfield UNDER 220.5 Passing Yards
Chris Olave OVER 5.5 Receptions
Olave is having a monster season, he has at least six catches in all three games and has caught eight passes in two of them, going over 100 yards in the process.
It'll likely be Winston under center for the Saints, who will look exclusively Olave's way as the offense has revolved around the second-year pro from Ohio State. He has double-digit targets in all three games this season and will be happy to grab this price at + money.
Rachaad White OVER 14.5 Rushing Attempts
With some questions about the state of the Saints' offense, I'll focus on the team's defense and how the Bucs will attempt to get through this unit.
To me, I see Tampa Bay attempting to try and grind this game to a halt, failing to get separation in the passing game and looking to play the field position game.
White had 17 carries in the first two games and 14 last week, the clear leader of the Bucs running game. He likely would've had more carries, but the game got away from the Bucs who had to try and pass its way back into the game against the Eagles.
This divisional matchup should be tight, I'll lean with a heavy dose of volume on the ground for Tampa Bay.
Baker Mayfield UNDER 220.5 Passing Yards
Following the line of thinking from above, I'm projecting a tight matchup with the Bucs opting to take the air out of the ball.
Mayfield went over this number against the Bears in Week 2, who may be the worst defense in football this season, but didn't even break 180 in the prior two games, one of which was against a poor defense in the Vikings.
I don't trust Mayfield as a passer, especially against a Saints defense that is eighth in passing yards allowed per game with 188 per game. The Saints' defense is going to give Mayfield fits, and I believe Tampa Bay is better suited to keeping the ball on the ground.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!