Playing with the lead
One last point to discuss when considering the Saints formula success probability is the fact that they can’t play from behind. The team did overcome double-digit deficits in their matchups against the Chargers and the Lions this season, but that was with Brees throwing the ball.
So far, the most that the Taysom Hill-lead Saints have trailed in the past two games was three against the Falcons in the first quarter.
Losing Brees in a game-clinching drive situation could be extremely detrimental to a team that has relied on his clutch ability for over a decade now. Hill has never been put in a situation where that much is asked of him, so it’s impossible to predict how well or poorly it may unfold.
Apart from the Eagles, all of the teams remaining on the Saints’ schedule are capable of scoring in one way or another.
The Saints’ running game and defense may keep them in games and allow them to defeat easier opponents, but it won’t be capable of defeating a team like the Chiefs alone. That will all come down on the shoulders of Taysom Hill.
So, while the team may be facing adversity once again in the wake of injury, the organization seemingly has found the perfect plan to carry their team.
Defensive momentum and a strong running game may just be enough to defeat most of the remaining teams on the schedule, but if the Saints want to retain their top position in the NFC it will all come down to Hill and how much he can demonstrate his ability to be the future.