Saints QB Drew Brees (Source: zimbio.com)

AccuScore projects New Orleans Saints as winners over Houston Texans

AccuScore is a highly trusted system used to project the outcome of NFL games, and even entire seasons, with surprising accuracy. They are recognized as the leader in sport forecasting, and even highly respected Las Vegas handicappers didn’t predict the NFL’s winners in 2010 better than the AccuScore system.

The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat the Houston Texans. Pierre Thomas is projected for 44 rushing yards and a 27% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, Matt Schaub averages 1.53 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.26 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Ben Tate averages 87 rushing yards and 0.94 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 52 yards and 0.43 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 55% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NO -4 — Over/Under line is 53. — Accuscore.com

Last week Accuscore projected the New Orleans Saints as winners over the Chicago Bears, who had blown out the Atlanta Falcons in week one.

Because of that performance the perceptions was that New Orleans was going to have their hands full containing Chicago’s defensive line — who notched five sacks on Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan — and forced a plethora of turnovers.

Instead the Saints offensive line only surrendered two sacks to the Bears, kept defensive end Julius Peppers in check, and the defensive line took down Jay Cutler six times in the 30-13 rout.

Houston is not Chicago, and they are currently riding a 2-0 start that has everyone talking considering their league worst defense in 2010 is now tops in the NFL under new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips.

However the Texans faced a terrible Colts team in week one that is captained by veteran quarterback Kerry Collins, who is filling in for the injured Peyton Manning. Collins has looked confused, to say the least, since being plucked out of retirement.

In week two they faced the Miami Dolphins, a marked improvement over the Colts offensively, but none the less headed by another mediocre quarterback in Chad Henne. Even with Henne at the helm the Dolphins were competitive, and the score was close at 23-13.

To date the Texans defense has had a relatively easy time, but will face their toughest test of the season against Drew Brees and the Saints offense. 

Brees has completed 68% of his passes for 689 yards and six touchdown over the last two games. He has yet to throw an interception this season and is currently ranked as the third best quarterback in the league behind Tom Brady and Aaron Rogers with a 114.9 rating.

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